Southport vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 2
SOU
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 2
WOK
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 1
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
GUI
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUL
1 - 0
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 1
CHE
54%
23%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 0
LIN
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 1
GAT
44%
27%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 2
LIN
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 2
KID
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |