Southport vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LEY
5 - 2
SOU
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 0
CAM
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 2
SOU
50%
24%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
KID
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
WRE
1 - 0
SOU
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 0
PLY
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WEL
1 - 0
LIN
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
3 - 0
WOR
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 1
LIN
32%
25%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
KID
4 - 1
LIN
71%
18%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |