Southport vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KID
6 - 0
SOU
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 1
KET
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 2
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
DAR
1 - 0
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 3
YOR
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 0
LEA
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LEA
0 - 1
DAR
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
YOR
1 - 0
LEA
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 0
LEA
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LEA
1 - 0
GUI
55%
25%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |