Southport vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
STO
6 - 0
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 0
DAR
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 1
SOU
71%
17%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
YOR
28%
25%
48%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 1
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
KID
2 - 2
CUR
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
KID
1 - 1
BOS
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
KID
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
KID
2 - 1
ALF
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAL
3 - 0
KID
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |