Southport vs Hyde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 2
RAD
39%
24%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 1
FAR
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 2
BUX
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 1
SOU
61%
21%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 4
HER
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Hyde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
HYD
0 - 0
LEE
57%
22%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 0
HYD
31%
25%
45%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
HYD
1 - 0
UNM
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UNM
3 - 3
HYD
19%
21%
60%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 1
HYD
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |