Southport vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
YOR
1 - 0
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 0
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 2
BRA
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LEA
1 - 0
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 3
BOS
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
STO
27%
28%
45%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 2
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
BRA
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
GUI
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 1
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |