Southport vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 3
KID
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
STO
6 - 0
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 0
DAR
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 1
SOU
71%
17%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
YOR
28%
25%
48%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 5
TOW
18%
23%
58%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
TOW
1 - 2
SAL
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TOW
1 - 1
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
BLY
0 - 2
TOW
63%
20%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
TOW
3 - 0
TAM
58%
21%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |