Southport vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
BRA
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 0
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 3
AFC
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 0
SOU
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 1
GUL
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GRI
0 - 1
WRE
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ALF
0 - 2
GRI
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GRI
2 - 2
GAT
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
WEL
0 - 2
GRI
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
DOV
0 - 1
GRI
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |