Southport vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 0
DAR
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HAY
0 - 2
SOU
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 0
SOU
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 3
LUT
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 0
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 2
GRI
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GRI
2 - 0
AFC
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 2
GRI
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GRI
6 - 0
BAT
69%
18%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GRI
4 - 0
HOR
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |