Southport vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
KID
0 - 1
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
COL
2 - 3
SOU
37%
26%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 2
KIN
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 0
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SOU
4 - 1
LEA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
GLO
2 - 2
KET
30%
25%
46%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 2
BRA
60%
21%
18%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FAR
1 - 1
GLO
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
GLO
2 - 2
CUR
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SPE
5 - 1
GLO
71%
18%
12%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |