Southport vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 3
AFC
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
HYD
0 - 2
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 3
TAM
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
SOU
48%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 3
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NUN
0 - 1
GAT
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
GAT
1 - 1
LIN
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
STO
1 - 2
GAT
40%
25%
36%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GAT
1 - 1
FOR
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
GAT
4 - 1
MAN
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |