Southport vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 2
SPE
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NUN
3 - 0
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 3
BRA
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 4
TOW
29%
25%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 3
KID
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TOW
1 - 2
GAI
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 2
GAI
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
GAI
2 - 0
LEA
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +4 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LEA
0 - 0
GAI
59%
21%
19%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
GAI
0 - 1
SAL
12%
20%
68%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |