Southport vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 0
SOU
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
DOV
2 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BRO
0 - 0
SOU
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 2
WRE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 1
BAR
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
BRA
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
0 - 1
FOR
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
GUL
68%
20%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
KID
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
GUL
4 - 1
FOR
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |