Southport vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WEL
4 - 3
SOU
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
HAL
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 2
SOU
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 0
TAM
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 1
BIR
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
WRE
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
LUT
4 - 1
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
WOK
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 2
FOR
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |