Southport vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
KID
1 - 1
SOU
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 2
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 1
MAC
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WOK
2 - 0
SOU
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 0
DAR
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
WEL
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
GRI
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 2
FOR
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 2
BRA
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 0
SAL
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |