Southport vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 0
ALT
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CAM
0 - 0
SOU
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
KID
3 - 4
SOU
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SOU
0 - 1
AFC
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
EAS
0 - 3
SOU
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
GAT
0 - 2
FLE
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
FLE
0 - 3
LUT
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
FLE
3 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
RUS
1 - 1
FLE
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
FLE
2 - 1
BOL
16%
23%
61%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |