Southport vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 2
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
WRE
0 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
NUN
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
HAL
30%
27%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
5 - 3
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 2
DAR
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DAR
0 - 1
ALF
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 0
DAR
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
DAR
1 - 3
WOK
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 1
DAR
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |