Southport vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HAY
0 - 2
SOU
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 0
SOU
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 3
LUT
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 0
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 6
FLE
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 2
YOR
25%
28%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
HAY
3 - 2
DAR
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 1
FLE
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 0
DAR
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 1
GAT
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |