Southport vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 1
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 4
CRA
21%
26%
53%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LUT
6 - 0
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 2
SOU
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 3
EAS
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 1
YOR
43%
28%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
KID
1 - 2
DAR
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HAY
3 - 2
DAR
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
HIS
0 - 1
DAR
19%
26%
55%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
DAR
3 - 1
BAT
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |