Southport vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
GAT
0 - 0
SOU
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
SOU
21%
24%
56%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
SOU
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
WID
0 - 2
SOU
15%
19%
67%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BLY
2 - 1
SOU
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CUR
5 - 0
BRA
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
NAN
2 - 2
CUR
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CUR
0 - 2
WRE
19%
25%
56%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 5
CRE
14%
20%
67%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
CUR
0 - 2
STO
15%
21%
65%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |