Southport vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 1
SOU
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 1
MOR
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
BAM
1 - 3
SOU
45%
23%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NAN
1 - 2
SOU
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 0
YOR
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 2
GLO
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
YOR
3 - 1
CHO
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CHO
2 - 1
GAT
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
3 - 1
CHO
11%
15%
75%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | -1 |