Southport vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 1
SOU
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
BOS
35%
24%
42%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
LUT
3 - 0
SOU
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ALD
5 - 1
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 3
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 3
LIN
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 2
BRA
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 2
BAR
56%
23%
20%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NUN
1 - 0
CHE
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
LUT
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |