Southport vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 1
SOU
61%
21%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 4
HER
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 0
SOU
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NEE
1 - 2
SOU
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 1
ALF
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BUX
1 - 2
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
BUX
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BUX
2 - 0
DAR
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BUX
2 - 1
FAR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BUX
2 - 1
LEA
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |