Southport vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
GLO
0 - 1
SOU
30%
26%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 3
BOS
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
FYL
4 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 2
YOR
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
4 - 0
SOU
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 0
BRA
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 2
BRA
13%
21%
66%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 2
BOS
20%
23%
58%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
YOR
2 - 1
BRA
78%
15%
6%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |