Southport vs Blyth Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
YOR
1 - 1
SOU
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 1
ALT
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 1
KET
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 0
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 1
AFC
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SPE
5 - 0
BLY
61%
20%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BLY
1 - 1
KID
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
DAR
2 - 1
BLY
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LEA
2 - 0
BLY
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
BLY
1 - 4
GUI
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |