Southport vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 5
SHW
31%
25%
45%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 2
KID
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
GRI
1 - 1
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 2
KET
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
HIS
2 - 1
SOU
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
BAT
3 - 1
HAY
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAT
2 - 2
ALT
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
LUT
3 - 1
BAT
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
YOR
1 - 1
BAT
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BAT
1 - 1
EAS
49%
25%
25%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |