Southport vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KID
2 - 0
SOU
66%
20%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 3
GAT
32%
23%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LUT
5 - 1
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 0
SOU
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 2
LIN
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
GAT
35%
26%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
4 - 0
FLE
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAT
0 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
YOR
3 - 1
BAR
57%
25%
18%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
TAM
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |