Southport vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
48.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GUL
0 - 0
SOU
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
HAL
3 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
FOR
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WEL
4 - 3
SOU
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
HAL
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 1
BRO
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 2
LIN
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ALD
3 - 1
ALT
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 2
STF
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 1
STA
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |