Southport vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 1
FAR
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GAT
4 - 1
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 2
SOU
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 2
SPE
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 3
YOR
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
ALF
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
KID
3 - 0
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
DAR
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LEA
4 - 3
ALF
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
3 - 1
FAR
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |