Southport vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
HYD
0 - 2
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 3
TAM
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
SOU
48%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 3
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
GRI
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 2
STO
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LUT
0 - 1
AFC
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
3 - 0
BRA
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
FOR
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |