Southport vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KID
2 - 0
SOU
66%
20%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 3
GAT
32%
23%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LUT
5 - 1
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 0
SOU
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 2
AFC
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 2
LIN
64%
21%
14%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
YOR
0 - 1
AFC
53%
27%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
AFC
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |