Southern United vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
3 - 1
HAW
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 6
EAS
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 1
CAN
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
HAW
3 - 2
SOU
63%
21%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TAS
2 - 2
TEA
19%
23%
59%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
TEA
2 - 1
HAW
83%
11%
5%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
AIN
3 - 3
TEA
60%
20%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
TEA
1 - 1
CAN
66%
18%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |