Southern United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 2
WEL
65%
20%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
TAS
1 - 2
SOU
53%
23%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 1
AUC
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 1
WAI
45%
23%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 0
TEA
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
HAW
2 - 2
TAS
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
WAI
7 - 2
HAW
37%
23%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
HAW
3 - 6
TEA
26%
23%
51%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
4 - 4
HAW
26%
23%
52%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
1 - 4
AUC
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |