Southern United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2016 |
WAI
3 - 0
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AUC
3 - 1
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 3
CAN
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TEA
4 - 1
SOU
78%
14%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
WAI
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 3
HAW
40%
25%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 2
TEA
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
WAI
2 - 1
HAW
31%
24%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HAW
5 - 5
WEL
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
HAW
2 - 0
CAN
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |