Southern United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
TEA
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
WEL
6 - 2
SOU
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AUC
4 - 2
SOU
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
3 - 1
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 3
CAN
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 2
WAI
46%
24%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 1
WAN
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TEA
1 - 0
HAW
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HAW
0 - 3
AUC
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |