Southern United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
55.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 1
WAI
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 0
TEA
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
3 - 1
HAW
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 6
EAS
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
WEL
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAN
0 - 1
AUC
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 2
EAS
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
1 - 4
AUC
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |