Southern Heat vs Guam Shipyard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
50.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.3%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+370%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SOH
8 - 0
BAN
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 7
SOH
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +3 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SOH
0 - 3
DSC
75%
14%
11%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SOH
3 - 0
UOG
40%
21%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SOH
9 - 0
DSC
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guam Shipyard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UOG
3 - 4
GUA
16%
15%
69%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TFC
0 - 8
GUA
9%
11%
80%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 11
NPR
34%
20%
46%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
QUA
13 - 1
GUA
69%
15%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
11 - 1
FCB
91%
6%
3%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |