Southend United vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
SOU
2 - 1
BOS
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
DAR
4 - 0
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
COL
1 - 1
SOU
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 0
KID
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 2
SOU
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
SWA
1 - 0
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 1
SWA
49%
25%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
SWA
2 - 0
LUT
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
SWA
1 - 0
RUS
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
WYC
0 - 1
SWA
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |