Southend United vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
75.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 1
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 2
MOR
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CUM
2 - 0
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 4
TOW
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 3
WHU
55%
20%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BUR
2 - 4
OPA
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
OPA
1 - 2
WIG
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ROC
0 - 0
OPA
19%
24%
58%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
BHA
4 - 0
OPA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
OPA
0 - 0
STF
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |