Southend United vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
DAG
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 4
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
OLD
1 - 0
SOU
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 0
SOU
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
CHE
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
POR
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
POR
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
ALD
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
DAG
1 - 2
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |