FA Cup 1/64
Global 3-0
Southend United vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
SOU
2 - 1
SWI
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
SOU
4 - 1
HUR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
OXF
0 - 0
SOU
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LUT
1 - 0
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
SOU
2 - 2
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 0
OXF
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
OXF
0 - 0
SOU
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
KID
2 - 1
OXF
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
OXF
0 - 0
EBB
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
OXF
3 - 1
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |