Southend United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
YEO
2 - 0
SOU
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
MAI
2 - 1
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
ALT
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 3
DAG
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 0
GRI
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 1
CHE
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 0
BOR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DAG
1 - 2
NOT
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
STO
3 - 0
NOT
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 2
WRE
41%
24%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |