Southend United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
BOS
2 - 0
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
KID
1 - 3
SOU
31%
28%
42%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
SOU
3 - 0
RUS
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 1
MAN
53%
24%
24%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
WYC
0 - 1
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 2
MID
16%
26%
58%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
NOT
0 - 0
ROC
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 2
NOT
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
SCU
0 - 0
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
SWA
4 - 0
NOT
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |