Southend United vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
GIL
1 - 2
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
SOU
4 - 1
YEO
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ROT
2 - 4
SOU
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
SOU
3 - 1
TRA
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SWI
1 - 2
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
NTT
1 - 0
TRA
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
NTT
1 - 1
BPO
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SWA
1 - 1
NTT
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
NTT
3 - 1
BRI
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
NTT
2 - 0
ROT
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |