Southend United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
OXF
0 - 2
SOU
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 0
SOU
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 1
SCU
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FLE
1 - 1
SOU
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 1
ROC
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWI
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
3 - 1
CHE
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WAL
2 - 1
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NOR
3 - 0
COV
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MKD
5 - 3
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |