Southend United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
CRA
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
SOU
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 1
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 0
SOU
67%
19%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
STA
1 - 2
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 2
HUR
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 2
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 4
WOL
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 3
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BRO
2 - 1
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |