Southend United vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CUM
2 - 0
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 4
TOW
25%
25%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 3
WHU
55%
20%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GIL
1 - 0
SOU
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SOU
3 - 1
BRO
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 7
NEW
8%
17%
76%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 5
CAM
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 0
OLD
35%
25%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
MOR
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 2
ROC
21%
21%
57%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |