Southend United vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
YOR
2 - 1
SOU
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
ALD
0 - 2
SOU
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
BRO
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 2
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CRE
2 - 0
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 2
GUL
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
STA
2 - 0
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
ROT
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 1
WYC
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 1
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |