Southend United vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LEE
4 - 1
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
SOU
4 - 1
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SOU
1 - 2
LEY
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SOU
4 - 1
SOU
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
SOU
1 - 3
LUT
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
MIL
1 - 0
CHE
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 0
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
DON
0 - 0
MIL
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 2
MIL
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MIL
1 - 0
BRI
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |