Southend United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 0
SOU
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 2
OLD
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 0
AFC
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
TRA
2 - 2
SOU
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
AFC
2 - 2
SOU
24%
22%
54%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
LUT
0 - 1
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
ROC
2 - 0
LUT
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
ALT
0 - 0
LUT
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LUT
2 - 1
DAG
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
LUT
0 - 0
ALT
65%
20%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |